Wednesday, June 11, 2008

There Once Was a 9-Block ...- A Middle-School Design for Probability and Statistics

Dor Abrahamson
University of California, Berkeley

Ruth M. Janusz
Nichols Middle School, Evanston, IL

Uri Wilensky
Northwestern University

Journal of Statistics Education Volume 14, Number 1 (2006),
Abstract
ProbLab is a probability-and-statistics unit developed at the Center for Connected Learning and Computer-Based Modeling, Northwestern University. Students analyze the combinatorial space of the 9-block, a 3-by-3 grid of squares, in which each square can be either green or blue. All 512 possible 9-blocks are constructed and assembled in a “bar chart” poster according to the number of green squares in each, resulting in a narrow and very tall display. This combinations tower is the same shape as the normal distribution received when 9-blocks are generated randomly in computer-based simulated probability experiments. The resemblance between the display and the distribution is key to student insight into relations between theoretical and empirical probability and between determinism and randomness. The 9-block also functions as a sampling format in a computer-based statistics activity, where students sample from a “population” of squares and then input and pool their guesses as to the greenness of the population. We report on an implementation of the design in two Grade 6 classrooms, focusing on student inventions and learning as well as emergent classroom socio-mathematical behaviors in the combinations-tower activity. We propose an application of the 9-block framework that affords insight into the Central Limit Theorem in science.
Keywords: Computers; Education; Mathematics; Sample; Statistics.
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